Assessing Circulating Tumour DNA (ctDNA) as a Biomarker for Anal Cancer Management: A Systematic Review.

This systematic review investigates the potential of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) as a predictive biomarker in the management and prognosis of squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal (SCCA). PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central Registry of Controlled Trials were searched until 7 January 2024. Selection criteria included research articles exploring ctDNA in the context of anal cancer treatment response, recurrence risk assessment, and consideration of salvage surgery. A total of eight studies were therefore included in the final review, examining a total of 628 patients. These studies focused on three main themes: SCCA diagnosis and staging, treatment response, and patient outcomes. Significant heterogeneity was observed in terms of patient cohort, study methodology, and ctDNA biomarkers. Four studies provided information on the sensitivity of ctDNA biomarkers in SCCA, with a range of 82-100%. Seven studies noted a correlation between pre-treatment ctDNA levels and SCCA disease burden, suggesting that ctDNA could play a role as a biomarker for the staging of SCCA. Across all seven studies with paired pre- and post-treatment ctDNA samples, a trend was seen towards decreasing ctDNA levels post-treatment, with specific identification of a 'fast elimination' group who achieve undetectable ctDNA levels prior to the end of treatment and may be less likely to experience treatment failure. Residual ctDNA detection post-treatment was associated with poorer patient prognosis. This systematic review identifies the broad potential of ctDNA as a useful and decisive tool in the management of SCCA. Further analysis of ctDNA biomarkers that include larger patient cohorts is required in order to clearly evaluate their potential role in clinical decision-making processes.

Detection of circulating tumor DNA in plasma of patients with primary CNS lymphoma by digital droplet PCR.

BACKGROUND: Primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) are rare mature B-cell lymphoproliferative diseases characterized by a high incidence of MYD88 L265P and CD79B Y196 hotspot mutations. Diagnosis of PCNSL can be challenging. The aim of the study was to analyze the detection rate of the MYD88 L265P and CD79B Y196 mutation in cell free DNA (cfDNA) in plasma of patients with PCNSL. METHODS: We analyzed by digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) to determine presence of the MYD88 L265P and CD79B Y196 hotspot mutations in cfDNA isolated from plasma of 24 PCNSL patients with active disease. Corresponding tumor samples were available for 14 cases. Based on the false positive rate observed in 8 healthy control samples, a stringent cut-off for the MYD88 L265P and CD79B Y196 mutation were set at 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. RESULTS: MYD88 L265P and CD79B Y196 mutations were detected in 9/14 (64%) and 2/13 (15%) tumor biopsies, respectively. In cfDNA samples, the MYD88 L265P mutation was detected in 3/24 (12.5%), while the CD79B Y196 mutation was not detected in any of the 23 tested cfDNA samples. Overall, MYD88 L265P and/or CD79B Y196 were detected in cfDNA in 3/24 cases (12.5%). The detection rate of the combined analysis did not improve the single detection rate for either MYD88 L265P or CD79B Y196. CONCLUSION: The low detection rate of MYD88 L265P and CD79B Y196 mutations in cfDNA in the plasma of PCNSL patients argues against its use in routine diagnostics. However, detection of MYD88 L265P by ddPCR in cfDNA in the plasma could be considered in challenging cases.

Genomic Landscape of Circulating Tumor DNA in Patients With Hormone Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2-Negative Metastatic Breast Cancer Treated With Abemaciclib: Data From the SCRUM-Japan Cancer Genome Screening Project.

PURPOSE: To understand the mutational landscape of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and tumor tissue of patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-negative (HER2-) metastatic breast cancer (MBC) treated with abemaciclib + endocrine therapy (ET). METHODS: Blood samples for ctDNA and/or tissue samples were collected from abemaciclib-treated patients with HR+/HER2- MBC enrolled in the SCRUM-Japan MONSTAR-SCREEN project. Blood samples were collected before abemaciclib initiation (baseline) and at disease progression/abemaciclib discontinuation (post abemaciclib treatment). Clinical and genomic characteristics including neoplastic burden (measured by shedding rate and maximum variant allele frequency [VAF]) were assessed at baseline. Genomic alterations in ctDNA were compared in paired baseline and post abemaciclib treatment samples. RESULTS: All patients (N = 97) were female (median age, 57 years [IQR, 50-67]). In baseline ctDNA (n = 77), PIK3CA (37%), TP53 (28%), ESR1 (16%), and GATA3 (11%) were the most frequently mutated genes. Baseline tissue samples (n = 79) showed similar alteration frequencies. Among patients with baseline ctDNA data, 30% had received previous ET. ESR1 alteration frequency (35% v 8%; P < .01), median shedding rate (3 v 2), and maximum somatic VAF (4 v 0.8; both P < .05) were significantly higher in ctDNA from patients with previous ET than those without previous ET. In paired ctDNA samples (n = 33), PIK3CA and ESR1 alteration frequencies were higher after abemaciclib treatment than at baseline, though not statistically significant. Among the post-treatment alterations, those newly acquired were detected most frequently in FGF3/4/19 (18%); PIK3CA, TP53, CCND1, and RB1 (all 15%); and ESR1 (12%). CONCLUSION: We summarized the ctDNA and cancer tissue mutational landscape, including overall neoplastic burden and PIK3CA and ESR1 hotspot mutations in abemaciclib-treated patients with HR+/HER2- MBC. The data provide insights that could help optimize treatment strategies in this population.

Repeat Next-Generation Sequencing Testing on Progression in Men With Metastatic Prostate Cancer Can Identify New Actionable Alterations.

PURPOSE: There are limited data available on the real-world patterns of molecular testing in men with advanced prostate cancer. We thus sought to evaluate next-generation sequencing (NGS) testing in the United States, focused on single versus serial NGS testing, the different disease states of testing (hormone-sensitive v castration-resistant, metastatic vs nonmetastatic), tissue versus plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assays, and how often actionable data were found on each NGS test. METHODS: The Prostate Cancer Precision Medicine Multi-Institutional Collaborative Effort clinical-genomic database was used for this retrospective analysis, including 1,597 patients across 15 institutions. Actionable NGS data were defined as including somatic alterations in homologous recombination repair genes, mismatch repair deficiency, microsatellite instability (MSI-high), or a high tumor mutational burden ≥10 mut/MB. RESULTS: Serial NGS testing (two or more NGS tests with specimens collected more than 60 days apart) was performed in 9% (n = 144) of patients with a median of 182 days in between test results. For the second NGS test and beyond, 82.1% (225 of 274) of tests were from ctDNA assays and 76.1% (217 of 285) were collected in the metastatic castration-resistant setting. New actionable data were found on 11.1% (16 of 144) of second NGS tests, with 3.5% (5 of 144) of tests detecting a new BRCA2 alteration or MSI-high. A targeted therapy (poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor or immunotherapy) was given after an actionable result on the second NGS test in 31.3% (5 of 16) of patients. CONCLUSION: Repeat somatic NGS testing in men with prostate cancer is infrequently performed in practice and can identify new actionable alterations not present with initial testing, suggesting the utility of repeat molecular profiling with tissue or blood of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer to guide therapy choices.

Sensitive circulating tumor DNA-based residual disease detection in epithelial ovarian cancer.

Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related death in women worldwide, and is characterized by a high rate of recurrence after surgery and chemotherapy. We sought to implement a circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-based blood test for more accurate post-operative surveillance of this disease. We analyzed 264 plasma samples collected between June 2016 and September 2021 from 63 EOC patients using tumor-guided plasma cell-free DNA analysis to detect residual disease after treatment. Assay specificity was verified using cross-patient analysis of 1,195 control samples. ctDNA was detected in 51 of 55 (93%) samples at diagnosis, and 18 of 18 (100%) samples at progression. Positive ctDNA in the last on-treatment sample was associated with rapid progression (median 1.02 versus 3.38 yr, HR = 5.63, P < 0.001) and reduced overall survival (median 2.31 versus NR yr, HR = 8.22, P < 0.001) in patients with high-grade serous cancer. In the case of 12 patients, ctDNA assays detected progression earlier than standard surveillance, with a median lead time of 5.9 mo. To approach the physical limits of ctDNA detection, five patients were analyzed using ultra-sensitive assays interrogating 479-1,856 tumor mutations, capable of tracking ctDNA fractions down to 0.0004%. Our results demonstrate that ctDNA assays achieve high sensitivity and specificity in detecting post-operative residual disease in EOC.

Dynamic monitoring of circulating tumor DNA reveals outcomes and genomic alterations in patients with relapsed or refractory large B-cell lymphoma undergoing CAR T-cell therapy.

BACKGROUND: Over 50% of patients with relapsed or refractory large B-cell lymphoma (r/r LBCL) receiving CD19-targeted chimeric antigen receptor (CAR19) T-cell therapy fail to achieve durable remission. Early identification of relapse or progression remains a significant challenge. In this study, we prospectively investigate the prognostic value of dynamic circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and track genetic evolution non-invasively, for the first time in an Asian population of r/r patients undergoing CAR19 T-cell therapy. METHODS: Longitudinal plasma samples were prospectively collected both before lymphodepletion and at multiple timepoints after CAR19 T-cell infusion. ctDNA was detected using a capture-based next-generation sequencing which has been validated in untreated LBCL. RESULTS: The study enrolled 23 patients with r/r LBCL and collected a total of 101 ctDNA samples. Higher pretreatment ctDNA levels were associated with inferior progression-free survival (PFS) (p=0.031) and overall survival (OS) (p=0.023). Patients with undetectable ctDNA negative (ctDNA-) at day 14 (D14) achieved an impressive 3-month complete response rate of 77.8% vs 22.2% (p=0.015) in patients with detectable ctDNA positive (ctDNA+), similar results observed for D28. CtDNA- at D28 predicted significantly longer 1-year PFS (90.9% vs 27.3%; p=0.004) and OS (90.9% vs 49.1%; p=0.003) compared with patients who remained ctDNA+. Notably, it is the first time to report that shorter ctDNA fragments (<170 base pairs) were significantly associated with poorer PFS (p=0.031 for D14; p=0.002 for D28) and OS (p=0.013 for D14; p=0.008 for D28) in patients with LBCL receiving CAR T-cell therapy. Multiple mutated genes exhibited an elevated prevalence among patients with progressive disease, including TP53, IGLL5, PIM1, BTG1, CD79B, GNA13, and P2RY8. Notably, we observed a significant correlation between IGLL5 mutation and inferior PFS (p=0.008) and OS (p=0.014). CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights that dynamic ctDNA monitoring during CAR T-cell therapy can be a promising non-invasive method for early predicting treatment response and survival outcomes. Additionally, the ctDNA mutational profile provides novel insights into the mechanisms of tumor-intrinsic resistance to CAR19 T-cell therapy.

Detection of Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms of Circulating Tumor DNA by Strand Displacement Amplification Coupled with Liquid Chromatography.

The detection of multiple single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is still a great challenge. In this study, we designed enzyme-assisted nucleic acid strand displacement amplification combined with high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) for the simultaneous detection of three ctDNA SNPs. First, the trace ctDNA could be hybridized to the specially designed template strand, which initiated the strand displacement nucleic acid amplification process under the synergistic action of DNA polymerase and restriction endonuclease. Then, the targets would be replaced with G-quadruplex fluorescent probes with different tail lengths. Finally, the HPLC-fluorescence assay enabled the separation and quantification of multiple signals. Notably, this method can simultaneously detect both the wild type (WT) and mutant type (MT) of multiple ctDNA SNPs. Within a linear range of 0.1 fM-0.1 nM, the detection limits of BRAF V600E-WT, EGFR T790M-WT, and KRAS 134A-WT and BRAF V600E-MT, EGFR T790M-MT, and KRAS 134A-MT were 29, 31, and 11 aM and 22, 29, and 33 aM, respectively. By using this method, the mutation rates of multiple ctDNA SNPs in blood samples from patients with lung or breast cancer can be obtained in a simple way, providing a convenient and highly sensitive analytical assay for the early screening and monitoring of lung cancer.

Current and future genomic applications for surgeons.

Genomics is a crucial part of managing surgical disease. This review focuses on some of the genomic advances that are available now and looks to the future of their application in surgical practice. Whole-genome sequencing enables unbiased coverage across the entire human genome of approximately three billion base pairs. Newer technologies, such as those that permit long-read sequence analysis, provide additional information in longer phased fragment and base pair epigenomic (methylomic) data. Whole-genome sequencing is currently available in England for cancers in children, teenagers and young adults, central nervous system tumours, sarcoma and haematological malignancies. Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA), immunotherapy and pharmacogenomics have emerged as groundbreaking approaches in the field of cancer treatment. These are now revolutionising the way oncologists and surgeons approach curative cancer surgery. Cancer vaccines offer an innovative approach to reducing recurrence after surgery by priming the immune system to trigger an immune response. The Cancer Vaccine Launch Pad project facilitates cancer vaccine studies in England. The BNT122-01 trial is recruiting patients with ctDNA-positive high-risk colorectal cancer after surgery to assess the impact of cancer vaccines. The evolving landscape of cancer treatment demands a dynamic and integrated approach from the surgical multidisciplinary team. Immunotherapy, ctDNA, pharmacogenomics, vaccines, mainstreaming and whole-genome sequencing are just some of the innovations that have the potential to redefine the standards of care. The continued exploration of these innovative diagnostics and therapies, the genomic pathway evolution and their application in diverse cancer types highlights the transformative impact of precision medicine in surgery.

Single-Nucleotide-Specific Lipidic Nanoflares for Precise and Visible Detection of KRAS Mutations via Toehold-Initiated Self-Priming DNA Polymerization.

Accurate identification of single-nucleotide mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is critical for cancer surveillance and cell biology research. However, achieving precise and sensitive detection of ctDNAs in complex physiological environments remains challenging due to their low expression and interference from numerous homologous species. This study introduces single-nucleotide-specific lipidic nanoflares designed for the precise and visible detection of ctDNA via toehold-initiated self-priming DNA polymerization (TPP). This system can be assembled from only a single cholesterol-conjugated multifunctional molecular beacon (MMB) via hydrophobicity-mediated aggregation. This results in a compact, high-density, and nick-hidden arrangement of MMBs on the surface of lipidic micelles, thereby enhancing their biostability and localized concentrations. The assay commences with the binding of frequently mutated regions of ctDNA to the MMB toehold domain. This domain is the proximal holding point for initiating the TPP-based strand-displacement reaction, which is the key step in enabling the discrimination of single-base mutations. We successfully detected a single-base mutation in ctDNA (KRAS G12D) in its wild-type gene (KRAS WT), which is one of the most frequently mutated ctDNAs. Notably, coexisting homologous species did not interfere with signal transduction, and small differences in these variations can be visualized by fluorescence imaging. The limit of detection was as low as 10 amol, with the system functioning well in physiological media. In particular, this system allowed us to resolve genetic mutations in the KRAS gene in colorectal cancer, suggesting its high potential in clinical diagnosis and personalized medicine.

Analytical validation of NeXT Personal®, an ultra-sensitive personalized circulating tumor DNA assay.

We describe the analytical validation of NeXT Personal®, an ultra-sensitive, tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay for detecting residual disease, monitoring therapy response, and detecting recurrence in patients diagnosed with solid tumor cancers. NeXT Personal uses whole genome sequencing of tumor and matched normal samples combined with advanced analytics to accurately identify up to ~1,800 somatic variants specific to the patient's tumor. A personalized panel is created, targeting these variants and then used to sequence cell-free DNA extracted from patient plasma samples for ultra-sensitive detection of ctDNA. The NeXT Personal analytical validation is based on panels designed from tumor and matched normal samples from two cell lines, and from 123 patients across nine cancer types. Analytical measurements demonstrated a detection threshold of 1.67 parts per million (PPM) with a limit of detection at 95% (LOD95) of 3.45 PPM. NeXT Personal showed linearity over a range of 0.8 to 300,000 PPM (Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.9998). Precision varied from a coefficient of variation of 12.8% to 3.6% over a range of 25 to 25,000 PPM. The assay targets 99.9% specificity, with this validation study measuring 100% specificity and in silico methods giving us a confidence interval of 99.92 to 100%. In summary, this study demonstrates NeXT Personal as an ultra-sensitive, highly quantitative and robust ctDNA assay that can be used to detect residual disease, monitor treatment response, and detect recurrence in patients.

[Progress of circulating tumor DNA in the clinical management of colorectal cancer].

Despite the great progress in the treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC), the current standard treatment protocols still have many limitations, and there is an urgent need for more effective biomarkers for personalized patient treatment. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), as a dynamic, non-invasive liquid biopsy approach, overcomes the limitations of tissue biopsy in detecting tumor heterogeneity and molecular evolution. Current evidence from several studies suggests that ctDNA shows great promise in stratifying recurrence risk, guiding treatment decisions, and monitoring early recurrence. In addition, ctDNA can improve the efficiency of clinical research and drug development. However, the lack of standardisation of pre-ctDNA test variables and analysis procedures and the high technical costs limit its promotion and development. In this review, we summarize the available evidence on ctDNA in the clinical management of CRC and present its limitations and strategies for improvement.

Circulating tumor DNA for predicting recurrence in patients with operable breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The incorporation of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) into the management of operable breast cancer (BC) has been hampered by the heterogeneous results from different studies. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of ctDNA in patients with operable (non metastatic) BC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic search of databases (PubMed/Medline, Embase, and CENTRAL) and conference proceedings was conducted to identify studies reporting the association of ctDNA detection with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage I-III BC. Log-hazard ratios (HRs) were pooled at each timepoint of ctDNA assessment (baseline, after neoadjuvant therapy, and follow-up). ctDNA assays were classified as primary tumor-informed and non tumor-informed. RESULTS: Of the 3174 records identified, 57 studies including 5779 patients were eligible. In univariate analyses, ctDNA detection was associated with worse DFS at baseline [HR 2.98, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.92-4.63], after neoadjuvant therapy (HR 7.69, 95% CI 4.83-12.24), and during follow-up (HR 14.04, 95% CI 7.55-26.11). Similarly, ctDNA detection at all timepoints was associated with worse OS (at baseline: HR 2.76, 95% CI 1.60-4.77; after neoadjuvant therapy: HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.44-5.14; and during follow-up: HR 9.19, 95% CI 3.26-25.90). Similar DFS and OS results were observed in multivariate analyses. Pooled HRs were numerically higher when ctDNA was detected at the end of neoadjuvant therapy or during follow-up and for primary tumor-informed assays. ctDNA detection sensitivity and specificity for BC recurrence ranged from 0.31 to 1.0 and 0.7 to 1.0, respectively. The mean lead time from ctDNA detection to overt recurrence was 10.81 months (range 0-58.9 months). CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA detection was associated with worse DFS and OS in patients with operable BC, particularly when detected after treatment and using primary tumor-informed assays. ctDNA detection has a high specificity for anticipating BC relapse.

Mutational Analysis of Circulating Tumor DNA in Patients With Estrogen Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative Advanced Breast Cancer Receiving Palbociclib: Results From the TREnd Trial.

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic circulating biomarkers to cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i), we performed a mutational analysis on circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) samples from patients included in the TREnd trial, which randomly assigned patients to receive the CDK4/6i palbociclib alone or with the endocrine treatment (ET) to which they had progressed. METHODS: Forty-six patients were enrolled in this substudy. Plasma was collected before treatment (T0), after the first cycle of therapy (T1), and at the time of progression (T2). ctDNA hybridization and capture were performed using the Illumina TruSight Tumor 170 Kit. Acquired mutations were confirmed by digital polymerase chain reaction. Progression-free survival analysis was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. RESULTS: The most frequently mutated genes at T0 were ESR1 (23%), PIK3CA (17%), AR, FGFR2, and TP53 (10%). Mutations in ESR1 at T0 conferred higher risk of progression in the entire population (P = .02) and in patients treated with palbociclib + ET (P = .04). ESR1 mutation effect remained significant after correction for clinical variables (P = .03). PIK3CA mutations at T0 were not prognostic, but higher risk of progression was observed when a broader analysis of PI3K pathway was performed (P = .04). At T2, we observed the emergence of nine new mutations in seven genes. CONCLUSION: Mutations in ESR1 and in PI3K pathway genes at T0 were associated with worse prognosis in palbociclib-treated patients. We describe the emergence of newly acquired mutations in palbociclib-treated patients, which might potentially affect subsequent treatment.

Circulating Tumor DNA (ctDNA) and Its Role in Gynecologic Malignancies.

OPINION STATEMENT: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) refers to small fragments of DNA released into the bloodstream by cancer cells. It is obtained through "liquid biopsy;" which most commonly refers to plasma or blood samples, but can be obtained from a number of bodily fluids including ascitic fluid, saliva, and even urine and stool. ctDNA is detected via polymerase chain reaction (PCR) or next-generation sequencing (NGS). The DNA from these samples is analyzed for the detection of point mutations, copy-number alterations, gene fusion, and DNA methylation. These results have the potential for use in cancer diagnosis, determining prognosis, targeting gene-specific therapies, and monitoring for/predicting disease recurrence and response to treatment. ctDNA offers an alternative to tissue biopsy; it is less invasive and can be monitored serially over time without multiple procedures. Moreover it may have the ability to detect disease recurrence or predict behavior in a way that solid tissue biopsies, tumor marker surveillance, and imaging cannot. Recent explosion in interest in ctDNA shows promising developments for widespread adoption of these techniques in cancer care. However, the use of ctDNA in diagnosis and treatment of gynecologic malignancies is currently limited, compared to adoption in other solid-organ tumors such as breast and colorectal cancers. Compared to other cancer types, there appear to be fewer comprehensive studies and clinical validations specifically focusing on the use of ctDNA in gynecologic cancers. More research is needed in this area to advance the potential for use of ctDNA in ovarian, endometrial, and cervical cancers before this can be routinely adopted to improve care for patients with gynecologic malignancies.

High somatic mutations in circulating tumor DNA predict response of metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma to first-line nab-paclitaxel plus S-1: prospective study.

AIMS: We previously showed that the nab-paclitaxel plus S-1 (NPS) regimen had promising effects against metastatic pancreatic ducal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC), whose efficacy however could not be precisely predicted by routine biomarkers. This prospective study aimed to investigate the values of mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and their dynamic changes in predicting response of mPDAC to NPS chemotherapy. METHODS: Paired tumor tissue and blood samples were prospectively collected from patients with mPDAC receiving first-line NPS chemotherapy, and underwent next-generation sequencing with genomic profiling of 425 genes for ctDNA. High mutation allelic frequency (MAF) was defined as ≥ 30% and ≥ 5% in tumor tissue and blood, respectively. Kappa statistics were used to assess agreement between mutant genes in tumor and ctDNA. Associations of mutations in ctDNA and their dynamic changes with tumor response, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression, and longitudinal data analysis. RESULTS: 147 blood samples and 43 paired tumor specimens from 43 patients with mPDAC were sequenced. The most common driver genes with high MAF were KRAS (tumor, 35%; ctDNA, 37%) and TP53 (tumor, 37%; ctDNA, 33%). Mutation rates of KRAS and TP53 in ctDNA were significantly higher in patients with liver metastasis, with baseline CA19-9 ≥ 2000 U/mL, and/or without an early CA19-9 response. κ values for the 5 most commonly mutated genes between tumor and ctDNA ranged from 0.48 to 0.76. MAFs of the genes mostly decreased sequentially during subsequent measurements, which significantly correlated with objective response, with an increase indicating cancer progression. High mutations of KRAS and ARID1A in both tumor and ctDNA, and of TP53, CDKN2A, and SMAD4 in ctDNA but not in tumor were significantly associated with shorter survival. When predicting 6-month OS, AUCs for the 5 most commonly mutated genes in ctDNA ranged from 0.59 to 0.84, larger than for genes in tumor (0.56 to 0.71) and for clinicopathologic characteristics (0.51 to 0.68). Repeated measurements of mutations in ctDNA significantly differentiated survival and tumor response. Among the 31 patients with ≥ 2 ctDNA tests, longitudinal analysis of changes in gene MAF showed that ctDNA progression was 60 and 58 days ahead of radiologic and CA19-9 progression for 48% and 42% of the patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: High mutations of multiple driving genes in ctDNA and their dynamic changes could effectively predict response of mPDAC to NPS chemotherapy, with promising reliable predictive performance superior to routine clinicopathologic parameters. Inspiringly, longitudinal ctDNA tracking could predict disease progression about 2 months ahead of radiologic or CA19-9 evaluations, with the potential to precisely devise individualized therapeutic strategies for mPDAC.